Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
0 - 2
Lyon

Ndayishimiye (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cherki (78'), Nuamah (83')
Kumbedi (4'), Tolisso (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: St Etienne 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: FCSB 1-3 Lyon
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lyon
30.36% ( -0.02)	24.09% ( 0)	45.54% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.77% (

-0.01)

43.22% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.37% (

-0.01)

65.62% (

0.01)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

-0.02)

27.04% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

-0.02)

62.41% (

0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83%

19.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.17% (

50.82% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nice 30.36%

Lyon 45.54%

Draw 24.09%

Nice	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.36%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.54%