Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.