Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
4 - 2
Le Havre

Lacazette (22' pen.), Fofana (78'), Mikautadze (82'), Almada (90+6')
Matic (37'), Nuamah (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Toure (31' pen.), Casimir (45+1')
Gorgelin (63'), Nego (66'), Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 4-0 FCSB
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Le Havre
74.93% ( 0.34)	15.08% ( -0.17)	9.99% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.58% (

0.35)

32.42% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.94% (

0.4)

54.05% (

-0.41)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.72% (

0.15)

7.28% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.64% (

0.39)

26.36% (

-0.39)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.77% (

-0.07)

42.23% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.37% (

-0.06)

78.63% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lyon 74.93%

Le Havre 9.99%

Draw 15.08%

Lyon	Draw	Le Havre
2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 74.93%	1-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.08%	1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.99%