Champions League
Aston Villa
Apr 15, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
PSG
  • Youri Tielemans 34' goal
  • John McGinn 42' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 57' goal
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 11'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 27'

Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 0-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 26.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 21.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 52.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.65% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 34.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 43.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 56.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 25.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 74.82% ▲ (+0.05)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 74.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60% ▲ (+0.06)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 86.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 59.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 40.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 26.32%
Draw 21.64%
Paris Saint-Germain 52.04%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.64%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 52.04%

Head to Head

Champions League
PSG
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
Aston Villa
  • Desire Doue 39' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 49' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 17'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 35'

Form Data

Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Brighton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Preston 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Brugge
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
PSG 1 - 0 Angers
Dunkerque 2 - 4 PSG
St Etienne 1 - 6 PSG
PSG 3 - 1 Marseille
Liverpool 0 - 1 PSG

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups