FA Cup
Crystal Palace
Apr 26, 2025 5.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Tyrick Mitchell 19' yellowcard
  • Eberechi Eze 31' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 58' goal
  • Chris Richards 65' yellowcard
  • Daichi Kamada 84' yellowcard
  • Ismaila Sarr 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 17'

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result

Crystal Palace 38.54% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 24.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Aston Villa 36.6% ▼ (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.24% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.97% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 45.03% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 32.62% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 67.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 16.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 83.48% ▼ (-0.15)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 76.83% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 23.17% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 42.94% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 57.05% ▼ (-0.38)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 75.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 24.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.53% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 38.54%
Draw 24.86%
Aston Villa 36.6%
Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.86%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Crystal Palace
Feb 25, 2025 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
Aston Villa
  • Ismaila Sarr 29' goal
  • Will Hughes 35' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munoz 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 59' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 71' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 87' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 90'+1' goal
  • goal Morgan Rogers 52'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 82'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
Crystal Palace
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Diego Carlos 59' yellowcard
  • Ian Maatsen 66' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 77' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 85' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 4'
  • goal Justin Devenny 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Trevoh Chalobah 77'
  • yellowcard Tyrick Mitchell 87'
EFL Cup
Aston Villa
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Crystal Palace
  • Jhon Duran 23' goal
  • Diego Carlos 67' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 89' yellowcard
  • goal Eberechi Eze 8'
  • goal Daichi Kamada 64'
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 76'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 78'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Crystal Palace
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Selhurst Park
Aston Villa
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 9' goal
  • Joachim Andersen 24' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 39' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 54' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 63' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 69' goal
  • yellowcard John McGinn 18'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 58'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 73'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Crystal Palace
  • John McGinn 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 86' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 87' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+8' goal
  • Leon Bailey 90'+11' goal
  • Leon Bailey 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 90'+15' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 17'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 47'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 53'
  • yellowcard Joel Ward 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Crystal Palace
  • Joachim Andersen 27' goal

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Man City 5 - 2 Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Brighton
Southampton 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
Aston Villa 3 - 2 PSG
Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups