Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Fulham
  • Youri Tielemans 12' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Sessegnon 31'
  • yellowcard Kenny Tete 52'
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 59'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 66'
  • yellowcard Marco Silva 86'

Aston Villa vs Fulham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Fulham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Southampton 1 - 2 Fulham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Raul Jimenez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 49.54% ▲ (+1.29)
Draw 22.44% ▼ (-0.26)
Fulham 28.02% ▼ (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.26% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.12% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 2.5 36.88% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 40.94% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 3.5 59.06% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 4.5 22.9% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 77.1% ▼ (-0.45)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 84.78% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 0.5 15.21% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 1.5 56.14% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 1.5 43.86% ▼ (-1.19)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 39.8% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 60.2% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 49.54%
Draw 22.44%
Fulham 28.02%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-95.96)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 49.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.44%
Fulham
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.19)
0-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.02%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 8
Fulham
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Craven Cottage
Aston Villa
  • Raul Jimenez 5' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 5' goal
  • Calvin Bassey 57' yellowcard
  • Joachim Andersen 64' redcard
  • Emile Smith Rowe 65' yellowcard
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 88' yellowcard
  • Issa Diop 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Rogers 9'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 9'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 33'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 33'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 59'
  • goal Issa Diop 69' (OG)
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 70'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 83'
  • redcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Fulham
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Craven Cottage
Aston Villa
  • Rodrigo Muniz 63' goal
  • Joao Palhinha 86' yellowcard
  • Timothy Castagne 89' yellowcard
  • Sasa Lukic 90' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harry Wilson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 23'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 32'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 56'
  • yellowcard Alex Moreno 74'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Fulham
  • Antonee Robinson 27' goal
  • John McGinn 42' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 64' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 66' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 52'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 64'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 70'
  • yellowcard Alex Iwobi 74'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Harrison Reed 90'+6'
Club Friendlies 1
Fulham
Jul 27, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
Aston Villa
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 40'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 73'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Fulham
  • Tyrone Mings 21' goal
Premier League Gameweek 12
Fulham
Oct 20, 2022 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Harrison Reed 36' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 68' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 83' goal

Form Data

Crystal Palace 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
Aston Villa 3 - 2 PSG
Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
PSG 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Southampton 1 - 2 Fulham
Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea
Bournemouth 1 - 0 Fulham
Fulham 3 - 2 Liverpool
Arsenal 2 - 1 Fulham
Fulham 0 - 3 Crystal Palace

Build-up

Predicted Lineups