National League | Gameweek 23

Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 1
Dag & Red

Kabamba (45+1'), Brunt (60')
Hartigan (64'), Potter (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rees (27')
Eastman (90+2'), Hill (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Barnet and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Dag & Red
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
52.12% ( 0.05)	22.96% ( -0.01)	24.92% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

-0)

41.94% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65%

64.35% (

-0)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

0.02)

16.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

0.03)

45.6% (

-0.03)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.04)

30.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

-0.05)

66.5% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Barnet 52.12%

Dagenham & Redbridge 24.92%

Draw 22.95%

Barnet	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.92%