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National League | Gameweek 28
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Dorking
0 - 1
Oldham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fondop (42')
Hogan (56'), Fondop (72')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Dorking
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawOldham Athletic
24.47% (-0.318 -0.32)22.45% (0.052 0.05)53.08% (0.267 0.27)
Both teams to score 59.72% (-0.541 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (-0.555 -0.56)40.02% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.578 -0.58)62.38% (0.578 0.58)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)29.63% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.675 -0.67)65.68% (0.676 0.68)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.105 -0.11)15.14% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)43.71% (0.201 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 24.47%
    Oldham Athletic 53.08%
    Draw 22.45%
Dorking WanderersDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.47%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 8% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.03% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.38% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 53.08%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Oldham
0-0
Dorking
Green (47'), Sheron (71')
Francomb (29'), Pybus (40')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dorking
1-5
Oldham
McShane (9')
Fondop (19', 36', 57'), Clarke (45+2'), Chapman (64')
Aug 13, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 2
Oldham
3-2
Dorking
Hope (12'), Porter (53'), Tollitt (66')
Luamba (84')
Taylor (82'), Rutherford (86')
McShane (45'), Taylor (55'), Philpot (66')
rhs 2.0


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