NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 1
Glenavon

Kennedy (14', 21', 49')
Rocks (30'), O'Sullivan (45+3'), Johnston (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ward (33')
McDaid (36'), Lafferty (45+2'), Snoddy (58')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 0-2 Glenavon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
36.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)39.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.34% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)64.69% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.16% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)57.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)21.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)54.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 36.21%
    Glenavon 39.52%
    Draw 24.27%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Ballymena
1-0
Glenavon
McCurry (8')
McMurray (88'), Gawne (88')
Whiteside (53')

Malone (86')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Snoddy (60')
Taylor (36')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Ballymena
0-1
Glenavon

Taylor (72')
McCloskey (37')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Glenavon
1-0
Ballymena
Birney (4')
Wallace (21'), McDonagh (62'), Rogers (66'), Campbell (69'), McCloskey (72')
Rogers (80')

Rocks (36'), Place (45+3'), McMurray (79'), Whiteside (83'), McGuigan (86')
Place (51')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
3-2
Ballymena
Fitzpatrick (20', 48'), Malone (74' pen.)
Place (53' pen.), Farquhar (90+3')