Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

H&W Welders
4 - 1
Glenavon

FT
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between H&W Welders and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

H&W Welders

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Last Game: H&W Welders 4-3 Loughgall
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Glenavon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Glenavon 4-0 Ballyclare Comrades
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 59.01%. A win for H&W Welders had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest H&W Welders win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
H&W WeldersDrawGlenavon
21.65% (0.134 0.13)19.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)59.01% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 67.54% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.74% (0.17999999999999 0.18)28.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.94% (0.222 0.22)49.06% (-0.219 -0.22)
H&W Welders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.21299999999999 0.21)25.27% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.292 0.29)60.03% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)9.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.86% (0.052000000000007 0.05)32.14% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    H&W Welders 21.65%
    Glenavon 59.01%
    Draw 19.34%
H&W WeldersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 5.38% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 21.65%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.26% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.92% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.88% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.96%
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 59.01%