Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 61.15%. A win for Queen's University had a probability of 21.03% and a draw had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 2-3 (5.55%). The likeliest Queen's University win was 2-1 (4.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.