NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 0
Carrick

Millar (90+7')
Cooper (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heatley (6'), Clucas (35'), Surgenor (86'), Gordon (90+6'), McGuckin (90+9')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-0 Linfield
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 1-4 Ballymena
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
74.19% (0.10299999999999 0.1)15.46% (-0.081 -0.08)10.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (0.34400000000001 0.34)33.19% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (0.394 0.39)54.94% (-0.396 -0.4)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (0.101 0.1)7.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.79% (0.262 0.26)27.21% (-0.264 -0.26)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.203 0.2)42.09% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.173 0.17)78.51% (-0.175 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 74.19%
    Carrick Rangers 10.35%
    Draw 15.46%
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.03% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.3% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.021 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 74.19%
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.46%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 10.35%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carrick
2-3
Linfield
Macuilaitis (6'), Allen (82')
Mackinnon (86')
Cooper (41'), McGee (60'), McClean (78')
Johns (12'), Mulgrew (45+2'), Hall (73')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
McGuckin (82')
Forsythe (68'), Macuilaitis (78')
Forsythe (61' og.), McClean (71')
Clarke (36'), East (39'), Mulgrew (90+6')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Linfield
3-3
Carrick
Shields (26' pen.), Clarke (34'), Hall (75')
Scott (63'), Cooper (65')
Cushley (19'), Purkis (36', 81')
Crowe (45+4'), Cushley (52'), Andrews (59'), Allen (65'), Glendinning (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Linfield
2-0
Carrick
Vertainen (55'), McClean (76')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Linfield
3-1
Carrick
Vertainen (2', 28'), McDaid (90+2')
Tilney (80')