Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.