Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.