NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 1
Carrick

McCartan (90+4')
Heatley (8'), Altintop (42'), McCarey (45+1'), Altintop (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCartan (9' og.)
Cherry (17'), Allen (45'), Heatley (47'), Cherry (68'), Allen (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-3 Portadown
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
40.77%25.44%33.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 55.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96%48.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79%70.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63%23.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.65%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 40.77%
    Carrick Rangers 33.8%
    Draw 25.43%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.8%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
0-1
Portadown
Fyfe (70')
Thompson (44'), Mackinnon (81'), McCartan (88'), Mayse (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Portadown
3-1
Carrick
Friel (14', 86'), Archer (32')
Tilney (59')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Portadown
1-3
Carrick
Russell (24')
McGuckin (13'), Macuilaitis (54', 72')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Anderson (60'), Stewart (81')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-0
Portadown
Stewart (45+1'), McGuckin (55')