NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Shamrock Park
Larne

Portadown
2 - 1
Larne

Fyfe (64'), McCartan (88')
Chapman (70'), Wilson (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCarey (34' og.)
Chapman (25'), McKendry (68'), O'Neill (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-4 Shamrock
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawLarne
31.32% (0.175 0.18)25.64% (0.176 0.18)43.04% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.22% (-0.495 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (-0.68 -0.68)49.65% (0.684 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.612 -0.61)71.66% (0.616 0.62)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)29.61% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.276 -0.28)65.65% (0.28 0.28)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.455 -0.45)22.96% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (-0.679 -0.68)56.74% (0.683 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 31.32%
    Larne 43.04%
    Draw 25.63%
PortadownDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.177 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.32%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 10% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.04%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Larne
P-P
Portadown
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Larne
2-0
Portadown
Bolger (20'), Thomson (52')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Portadown
0-5
Larne
Millar (32'), Doherty (40', 52'), Bonis (50'), Bolger (53')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Portadown
0-1
Larne
O'Neill (29')
Jan 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Larne
4-0
Portadown
Bonis (24', 62'), Balmer (58'), Nasseri (72')

Ruddy (79')