Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.