NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 3
Linfield

Stewart (58'), Callacher (90+4')
Callacher (26'), Franklin (61'), Stewart (72'), Fitzpatrick (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McClean (40', 86'), Fitzpatrick (62')
Fitzpatrick (90')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Linfield

All competitions

Last Game: Linfield 1-3 Glentoran
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
30.68% ( 6.46)	24.69% ( 0.79)	44.63% ( -7.25)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

2.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.2% (

1.02)

45.8% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

0.96)

68.12% (

-0.96)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

5.41)

28.13% (

-5.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

6.38)

63.8% (

-6.37)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-2.56)

20.6% (

2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-4.22)

53.15% (

4.22)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 30.68%

Linfield 44.63%

Draw 24.69%

Crusaders	Draw	Linfield
2-1 @ 7.37% ( 1.18) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.86) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.66) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.68%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -1.21) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -1.64) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.71) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -1.26) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.46) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.67) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.63%