NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 1
Crusaders

Cooper (7'), McKee (45')
Cooper (11'), Fitzpatrick (29'), Orr (50'), Archer (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Clarke (10')
Clarke (42'), Larmour (70'), Jewitt-White (76'), Forsythe (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, January 25 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Portadown
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
64.18% (-1.82 -1.82)21.19% (0.721 0.72)14.62% (1.099 1.1)
Both teams to score 46.71% (0.588 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)48.89% (0.74 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.674 -0.67)70.98% (0.67399999999999 0.67)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.795 -0.8)14.53% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-1.555 -1.56)42.57% (1.555 1.56)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.65% (1.186 1.19)45.34% (-1.185 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.79% (0.921 0.92)81.2% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 64.17%
    Crusaders 14.62%
    Draw 21.19%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.25% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.88% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.335 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.341 0.34)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.19%
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.322 0.32)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 14.62%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
2-3
Linfield
Stewart (58'), Callacher (90+4')
Callacher (26'), Franklin (61'), Stewart (72'), Fitzpatrick (79')
McClean (40', 86'), Fitzpatrick (62')
Fitzpatrick (90')
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Owens (56')
Lowry (28'), Larmour (37'), Owens (51'), Kennedy (58'), Weir (78'), O'Rourke (86')
Cooper (32'), Finlayson (90+3' og.)
Cooper (48'), Hall (53'), Fitzpatrick (65'), Mulgrew (81')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Linfield
1-0
Crusaders
Archer (27')
Hall (55'), Fallon (90')

Winchester (25')
Jan 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Crusaders
0-1
Linfield

Joe Burns (31'), Clarke (52'), Anderson (71'), Heatley (90+5')
East (45+1')
Annett (56'), Hall (75'), Fitzpatrick (80')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Linfield
2-0
Crusaders
Cooper (10'), Fitzpatrick (23')
Clarke (62'), East (65'), Cooper (72')

Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (61'), Weir (61'), O'Rourke (78'), Lecky (83')
rhs 2.0


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