NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 0
Crusaders


Clucas (82')
FT

Owens (77'), Lowry (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Cliftonville
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
26.48% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.056999999999995 0.06)54.68% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (0.047999999999998 0.05)76.01% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.069000000000003 0.07)35.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.071000000000002 0.07)72.65% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)23.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.02% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 26.48%
    Crusaders 47.22%
    Draw 26.28%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.22%

How you voted: Carrick vs Crusaders

Carrick Rangers
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Crusaders
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Carrick
3-0
Crusaders
McGuckin (11'), Heatley (14', 60')
Heatley (27'), Macuilaitis (65'), Crowe (74')

Cushley (34'), Blaney (45'), Weir (62')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Heatley (77'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (90+6')
May 1, 2024 7.45pm
Crusaders
3-1
Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')