NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 0
Loughgall


Clucas (35'), McGuckin (67'), Heatley (75')
FT

McGuckin (40'), Forsythe (57'), Gibson (65'), Balde (76'), Francis (84'), Kelly (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Carrick
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Glentoran
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
45.05% (0.419 0.42)25.27% (-0.139 -0.14)29.67% (-0.284 -0.28)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.289 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (0.447 0.45)48.81% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (0.405 0.41)70.91% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.381 0.38)21.66% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (0.579 0.58)54.8% (-0.58 -0.58)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.028999999999996 0.03)30.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (0.034999999999997 0.03)66.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 45.04%
    Loughgall 29.68%
    Draw 25.27%
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.68%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Loughgall
3-0
Carrick
Gibson (27', 45'), Magee (90+2')
Kelly (49'), McCloskey (82')

Stewart (42'), Clucas (57'), Watson (66'), McGuckin (72')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
2-1
Loughgall
Stewart (17', 20')
Macuilaitis (59'), Macuilaitis (62'), Forsythe (66'), McGuckin (90+2')
Gordon (43')
Strain (33')
Allen (14'), Kelly (89'), Hoey (90+2')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Loughgall
3-3
Carrick
Hoey (38', 77'), Ferris (90+1')
Carroll (40'), Magee (67'), Ferris (90+2')
Teelan (34'), Purkis (41', 46')
Buchanan-Rolleston (45+3'), Purkis (74'), Gordon (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carrick
2-2
Loughgall
Mackinnon (41'), Purkis (74')
Gordon (37'), Glendinning (70'), Cushley (78'), McGuckin (90+2'), McGuckin (90+2')
Boyd (49'), Magee (71')
Boyd (16'), Murdock (39'), Gibson (42'), Loughran (44'), Kelly (83')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Loughgall
3-4
Carrick
Forsythe (16' og.), Hoey (63'), Magee (77')
Kelly (10'), Loughran (53'), Cartwright (57')
Kelly (89')
Forsythe (29'), Allen (37', 72'), Macuilaitis (40')
Surgenor (10'), Mackinnon (87'), McGuckin (89')