NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 2
Carrick

McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
55.19% (-0.114 -0.11)23.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.12% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (0.029000000000003 0.03)49.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)71.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)17.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)48.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.111 0.11)37.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.107 0.11)74.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 55.18%
    Carrick Rangers 21.12%
    Draw 23.68%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.12%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
1-4
Ballymena
Gordon (57')
Forsythe (26'), Glendinning (35'), Gordon (35'), Macuilaitis (56'), Clucas (69'), Stewart (75'), Cherry (77')
Jarvis (2'), Lafferty (15'), Kennedy (90+1' pen., 90+6')
Jarvis (4'), Carson (30'), McMurray (35'), Scott (35'), Kennedy (37')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Tilney (66'), Purkis (77')
Cushley (14'), Crowe (55'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Stewart (90+4')
Gawne (3'), McMurray (19'), Nelson (80')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Ballymena
0-2
Carrick

Robinson (33')
Teelan (29'), Macuilaitis (88')
Watson (16'), Stewart (22')
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ballymena
0-2
Carrick

Boyle (47'), Rocks (90+2')
Cushley (28' pen.), Purkis (90+6')
Crowe (61'), Gordon (79'), Andrews (84'), Andrews (85')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Carrick
0-1
Ballymena

Watson (25'), Glendinning (52'), Cushley (77'), Macuilaitis (90+8')
Westendorf (26' pen.)
Rocks (14'), Taylor (32'), Coates (63'), Friel (77'), O'Neill (90+3')