Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.