Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Linfield in this match.