Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.