NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 0
Crusaders

McCullough (58')
Altintop (36'), Mayse (36'), Mackinnon (87'), Fyfe (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsythe (60'), Lowry (60'), O'Rourke (71'), Blaney (88')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 2-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawCrusaders
28.9% (0.127 0.13)26.78% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.33% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (-0.114 -0.11)55.23% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)76.46% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)34.24% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.041 0.04)70.93% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)24.78% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (-0.19 -0.19)59.35% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 28.9%
    Crusaders 44.32%
    Draw 26.77%
PortadownDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 11.83%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.32%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
0-3
Portadown

Forsythe (77')
Mayse (28'), Obhakhan (68'), Mackinnon (75')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Portadown
2-2
Crusaders
McElroy (33'), O'Sullivan (89')
Clarke (57'), Lowry (76')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
4-0
Portadown
Lecky (20', 47' pen.), Snelgrove (31'), Winchester (51')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
2-1
Portadown
Lowry (64'), McMurray (86')
McMurray (88'), (90+4')
Robinson (31')
Jenkins (32' pen.)
De Dieu Tantale (58'), Jenkins (70'), (90+4')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm