NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 2
Portadown

Franklin (2'), Forsythe (56'), Jewitt-White (70')
(48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ukek (30'), Chapman (90+1')
Altintop (40'), Ukek (65'), (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Portadown.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Portadown

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 1-3 Linfield
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawPortadown
30.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)24.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)45.71% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)42.96% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)65.36% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.33% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (0.061 0.06)50.53% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 30.26%
    Portadown 45.71%
    Draw 24.03%
CrusadersDrawPortadown
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 45.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Portadown
1-0
Crusaders
McCullough (58')
Altintop (36'), Mayse (36'), Mackinnon (87'), Fyfe (90+2')

Forsythe (60'), Lowry (60'), O'Rourke (71'), Blaney (88')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crusaders
0-3
Portadown

Forsythe (77')
Mayse (28'), Obhakhan (68'), Mackinnon (75')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Portadown
2-2
Crusaders
McElroy (33'), O'Sullivan (89')
Clarke (57'), Lowry (76')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crusaders
4-0
Portadown
Lecky (20', 47' pen.), Snelgrove (31'), Winchester (51')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
2-1
Portadown
Lowry (64'), McMurray (86')
McMurray (88'), (90+4')
Robinson (31')
Jenkins (32' pen.)
De Dieu Tantale (58'), Jenkins (70'), (90+4')