Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.