NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 0
Glenavon

McKee (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malone (18')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Linfield in this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawGlenavon
63.82% (-0.104 -0.1)21.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)14.72% (0.06 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.78% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)71.78% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.65% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)43.35% (0.124 0.12)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.25% (0.029000000000003 0.03)45.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)81.52% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 63.82%
    Glenavon 14.72%
    Draw 21.46%
LinfieldDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 14.72%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Glenavon
0-3
Linfield

Haughey (34')
Cooper (2', 35'), Millar (20')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Glenavon
2-2
Linfield
Doona (33'), Prendergast (90+7')
Snoddy (76'), Toure (76'), Kerr (90+5'), Kerr (90+5')
Fallon (2'), McBrien (88')
Finlayson (26'), Graham (90+5')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Glenavon
0-2
Linfield

Quinn (11'), Malone (58'), Kerr (60'), Birney (67'), Snoddy (76')
Garrett (18')
Annett (34'), Cooper (76')
McClean (45+2'), Fitzpatrick (61'), Cooper (90+2')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Linfield
4-2
Glenavon
McKee (16'), Cooper (52'), Shields (61', 65' pen.)
Clarke (21'), Newberry (37')
Teggart (17'), Birney (74')
Campbell (38'), Snoddy (45+2'), Rogers (90+1')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Glenavon
1-6
Linfield
McCloskey (19')
Clarke (6'), Roscoe (52'), Vertainen (57'), Shields (64' pen., 79'), Haygarth (82')