NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 0
Carrick

Cooper (49'), East (54'), Fitzpatrick (66')
Ballantyne (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clucas (38'), Ballantyne (88')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 0-0 Linfield
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Crusaders
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
74.04% (-0.318 -0.32)16.58% (0.184 0.18)9.37% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03% (-0.462 -0.46)41.96% (0.453 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.465 -0.46)64.36% (0.459 0.46)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)9.79% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45% (-0.45400000000001 -0.45)32.54% (0.449 0.45)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.95% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)50.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)84.69% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 74.02%
    Carrick Rangers 9.37%
    Draw 16.58%
LinfieldDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 13.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 74.02%
1-1 @ 7.88% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.58%
0-1 @ 3.39% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.37%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Carrick
1-3
Linfield
Crowe (3')
Cushley (45+2'), Allen (72'), Surgenor (90+2')
McClean (77'), Cooper (79'), Shields (90+3' pen.)
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Linfield
1-0
Carrick
Millar (90+7')
Cooper (35')

Heatley (6'), Clucas (35'), Surgenor (86'), Gordon (90+6'), McGuckin (90+9')
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carrick
2-3
Linfield
Macuilaitis (6'), Allen (82')
Mackinnon (86')
Cooper (41'), McGee (60'), McClean (78')
Johns (12'), Mulgrew (45+2'), Hall (73')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Carrick
1-2
Linfield
McGuckin (82')
Forsythe (68'), Macuilaitis (78')
Forsythe (61' og.), McClean (71')
Clarke (36'), East (39'), Mulgrew (90+6')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Linfield
3-3
Carrick
Shields (26' pen.), Clarke (34'), Hall (75')
Scott (63'), Cooper (65')
Cushley (19'), Purkis (36', 81')
Crowe (45+4'), Cushley (52'), Andrews (59'), Allen (65'), Glendinning (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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