NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 1
Coleraine

Nixon (23'), Stewart (56')
Clarke (19'), Offord (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boyle (35')
Jarvis (19'), Stewart (32'), McClelland (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 0-3 Linfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.17%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawColeraine
56.17% (-0.07 -0.07)21.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)21.92% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.25% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.064999999999998 0.06)40.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (0.067 0.07)62.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.099999999999994 0.1)32.04% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.111 0.11)68.51% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 56.17%
    Coleraine 21.92%
    Draw 21.91%
CrusadersDrawColeraine
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head
May 6, 2024 3pm
Crusaders
3-2
Coleraine
O'Rourke (36'), Larmour (37'), Forsythe (90+2')
Clarke (45+5'), Lowry (49'), Heatley (75'), Nixon (82'), Nixon (82'), Larmour (90+5')
McGonigle (5'), Carson (70')
Scott (82')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Coleraine
0-2
Crusaders

Jarvis (77'), Glackin (83')
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crusaders
1-1
Coleraine
Forsythe (69' pen.)
Joe Burns (52'), Lecky (52'), Owens (86')
Carson (29' pen.)
Kane (52'), McGonigle (70'), Brown (81')
Kane (68')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crusaders
0-2
Coleraine

Joe Burns (30'), O'Rourke (54'), Smith (57'), Heatley (66')
McKendry (54', 77')
McKendry (45+1'), Mitchell (72')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Coleraine
0-4
Crusaders

Carson (47')
Lowry (14'), Kennedy (81'), Larmour (87'), O'Rourke (90+1')
Kennedy (39'), Anderson (62'), Lowry (84')