Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.