Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.