MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 07:13:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Portadown
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
25.83% (0.023 0.02) 28.91% (0.561 0.56) 45.26% (-0.58 -0.58)
Both teams to score 41.84% (-1.359 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (-1.72 -1.72)63.95% (1.723 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (-1.245 -1.25)83.15% (1.247 1.25)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (-0.964 -0.96)41.61% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.858 -0.86)78.1% (0.861 0.86)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-1.125 -1.13)28.34% (1.127 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-1.441 -1.44)64.08% (1.445 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 25.83%
    Larne 45.25%
    Draw 28.9%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.83%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.79% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 14.86% (0.47 0.47)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.25%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield27194452213161
2GlentoranGlentoran2412573021941
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon26124103731640
4LarneLarne21116427161139
5PortadownPortadown26115103330338
6CrusadersCrusaders27114123439-537
7CliftonvilleCliftonville25105103127435
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena25103123033-333
9ColeraineColeraine258893836232
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2557132237-1522
12Loughgall2634192561-3613


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