Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.