NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 1
Carrick

Campbell (49', 49'), McGovern (90+3', 90+3')
Malone (48'), Campbell (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Purkis (89', 89')
Buchanan-Rolleston (12')
Buchanan-Rolleston (23')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Glenavon
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Carrick Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
50.73% ( 0.07)	24.63% ( -0.02)	24.65% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.64% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54% (

0.04)

49.47% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5% (

0.04)

71.5% (

-0.03)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

0.04)

19.51% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.62% (

0.07)

51.39% (

-0.06)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-0.02)

34.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

-0.02)

71.32% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 50.73%

Carrick Rangers 24.65%

Draw 24.62%

Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.65%