MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 20:30:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 1
Carrick

Campbell (49'), McGovern (90+3')
Malone (48'), Campbell (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (89')
Buchanan-Rolleston (12')
Buchanan-Rolleston (23')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Glenavon
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
50.73% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 24.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)49.47% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.5% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (0.043000000000006 0.04)19.51% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (0.067 0.07)51.39% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)71.32% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 50.73%
    Carrick Rangers 24.65%
    Draw 24.62%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Glenavon
1-1
Carrick
McDaid (90+1')
Buchanan-Rolleston (72')
Cushley (89' pen.)
Clucas (65'), Heatley (90+5'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Glendinning (45+2')
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
2-0
Glenavon
Allen (16'), Macuilaitis (32')
Stewart (42')

Carroll (76')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
1-2
Carrick
Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield29214454213367
2GlentoranGlentoran26145733221147
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon28134114033743
4CrusadersCrusaders29134123840-243
5PortadownPortadown28126103732542
6LarneLarne2411672720739
7CliftonvilleCliftonville28116113732539
8ColeraineColeraine2798104038235
9GlenavonGlenavon2697102934-534
10Ballymena UnitedBallymena26103133136-533
11Carrick RangersCarrick2857162344-2122
12Loughgall2734202562-3713


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!