NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26

Jan 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stangmore Park

Dungannon
2 - 3
Glenavon

McGovern (47' pen.), Mitchell (66')
Bigirimana (68'), Bigirimana (78'), Alves (80'), (90+5'), McAleese (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McDaid (27'), Malone (45', 80')
McDaid (54'), Curry (88'), Campbell (90+4')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

Last Game: Crusaders 1-5 Dungannon
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Glenavon
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Glenavon
59.92% ( 0.13)	20.92% ( -0.12)	19.15% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.23% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

0.52)

39.71% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

0.54)

62.07% (

-0.55)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

0.2)

12.9% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69% (

0.41)

39.31% (

-0.42)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

0.29)

34.29% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

0.32)

70.99% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 59.92%

Glenavon 19.15%

Draw 20.92%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 59.92%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.92%	1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.15%