NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24

Dec 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Glenavon

Nelson (67'), Rocks (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (55'), McDaid (68')
McKeown (27'), Jarvis (64'), Scott (83')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions

Last Game: Coleraine 2-2 Ballymena
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 2-0 Portadown
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Glenavon
45.17% ( -0.46)	25.7% ( 0.19)	29.13% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

-0.65)

50.84% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

-0.58)

72.73% (

0.58)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.49)

22.47% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.73)

56.02% (

0.73)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

-0.14)

31.76% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81% (

-0.16)

68.19% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 45.16%

Glenavon 29.13%

Draw 25.7%

Ballymena United	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.16%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.13%