Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.