NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Emmett McGuckin 65' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Matthew Snoddy 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 59'
  • goal Peter Campbell 70'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 81'

Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Carrick
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dan Purkis

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
Glenavon 0 - 1 Ballymena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Aaron Prendergast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result

Carrick Rangers 29.26% (+5.30)
Draw 23.57% (+1.34)
Glenavon 47.16% (-6.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.11% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.57% (-1.86)
Under 2.5 41.43% (+1.86)
Over 3.5 36.17% (-1.91)
Under 3.5 63.83% (+1.92)
Over 4.5 19.15% (-1.48)
Under 4.5 80.85% (+1.48)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 73.12% (+2.92)
Under 0.5 26.88% (-2.92)
Over 1.5 37.81% (+3.69)
Under 1.5 62.19% (-3.68)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 82.2% (-3.06)
Under 0.5 17.8% (+3.06)
Over 1.5 51.48% (-5.56)
Under 1.5 48.52% (+5.56)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 29.26%
Draw 23.57%
Glenavon 47.16%
Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 7.13% (+0.97)
1-0 @ 6.29% (+0.97)
2-0 @ 4.13% (+0.91)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.64)
3-2 @ 2.69% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 1.81% (+0.51)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-74.28)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.67)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 4.78% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.57%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.39)
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.93)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.84)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-1.04)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.23)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.66)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.69)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.28)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 47.16%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Kurtis Forsythe 18' yellowcard
  • Curtis Allen 38' goal
  • David Cushley 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Rogers 19'
  • goal Peter Campbell 25'
  • yellowcard Isaac Baird 29'
  • goal Peter Campbell 42'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 45'
  • goal Niall Quinn 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Danny Wallace 45' yellowcard
  • Aaron Prendergast 63' goal
  • Jack Malone 81' goal
  • Matthew Snoddy 82' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 83' yellowcard
  • Aaron Prendergast 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Crowe 12'
  • redcard Kyle Cherry 16'
  • yellowcard Albert Watson 24'
  • goal Dan Purkis 75'
  • yellowcard Mark Surgenor 80'
  • yellowcard Reece Glendinning 82'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 62' goal
  • goal Andrew Doyle 32'
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 50'
  • goal Cohen Henderson 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • Calum Birney 70' goal
  • goal Danny Wallace 88'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 13' goal
  • Eoin Bradley 28' goal
  • Jack Malone 82' goal
  • Matthew Snoddy 90'+1' goal
  • goal Andy Mitchell 15'
  • goal Lloyd Anderson 49'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 10' goal
  • 11' yellowcard
  • Conor McCloskey 23' goal
  • 50' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 59' redcard
  • goal Andy Mitchell 18'
  • yellowcard Jim Ervin 55'
  • goal Curtis Allen 64'
  • yellowcard David Cushley 66'