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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
| 38.85% ( | 26.73% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( | 53.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( | 74.94% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( | 26.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( | 62.12% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.42% |