Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.