Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.