League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
George Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw has a probability of 24.57% and a win for Shrewsbury Town has a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.63%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it is 0-1 (6.78%).

Result

MK Dons 56.85% (+0.11)
Draw 24.57% (-0.06)
Shrewsbury Town 18.61% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.19% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.53% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.47% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.09% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.88% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 25.31% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.69% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.68% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.32% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 38.17% (+0.04)
Draw 43.61% (-0.08)
Shrewsbury Town 18.22% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 59.75%
No Goal 8.06% (+0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 32.19% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.19% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.47% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.33% (+0.21)
Over 9 49.17% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.02% (-0.04)
Under 9 38.81% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 37.68% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 62.32% (+0.14)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 49.13% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.87% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.69% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 76.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.64% (-0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 52.06% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 47.94% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 19.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.73%
Under 2.5 95.27%
Over 3.5 1.04%
Under 3.5 98.96%

Score analysis

MK Dons 56.86%
Draw 24.58%
Shrewsbury Town 18.61%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 13.68% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.91% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 9.35% (+0.02)
Total : 56.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.58%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 18.61%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Tom Bayliss 89'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Tom Bayliss 24' goal
  • Jordan Shipley 45'+2' goal
  • goal Zak Jules 54'
League One Gameweek 41
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mohamed Eisa 17' goal
  • Scott Twine 54' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Bowman 10'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 54'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bennett 71'
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 78'
  • yellowcard Luke Leahy 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shaun Whalley 30' yellowcard
  • Luke Leahy 36' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 56' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 45'+1'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Sean Goss 4' goal
  • Oliver Norburn 8' goal
  • Curtis Main 20' goal
  • Sean Goss 57' goal
  • Oliver Norburn 63' yellowcard
  • Joshua Daniels 81' yellowcard
  • Dave Edwards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Will Grigg 22'
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 59'
  • goal Charlie Brown 82'
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 90'+5'