League Two Gameweek 26
Gillingham
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
MK Dons
  • Sam Vokes 55' yellowcard
  • Travis Akomeah 55' yellowcard
  • Nelson Khumbeni 69' yellowcard
  • Lenni Rae Cirino 69' yellowcard
  • Michael Luxton 76' yellowcard
  • S. Palmer-Houlden 77' goal
  • goal Alex Gilbey 15'
  • goal G. Jones 26'
  • goal Marvin Ekpiteta 33'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 46'
  • goal Ben Wiles 51'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 62'
  • yellowcard Joseph Tomlinson 79'
  • goal Liam Kelly 87'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 90'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Leko 90'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Leko 90'+1'

Gillingham vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Robbie McKenzie

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 4 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Gillingham 31.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.92%
MK Dons 42.03% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.97%
Under 4.5 87.03%

First Half Winner

Gillingham 24.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 41.83%
MK Dons 33.91% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Gillingham 36.46% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
MK Dons 55.25%

Corners

Over 8 53.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 41.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 46.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.39% ▲ (+0.05)

Gillingham Goals

Over 1.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 10.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gillingham 31%
Draw 26.92%
MK Dons 42.04%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.92%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.04%

Head to Head

League Two
MK Dons
Oct 4, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Gillingham
League Two Gameweek 42
Gillingham
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
MK Dons
  • Joseph Gbode 65' yellowcard
  • Bradley Dack 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 81'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 84'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 84'
League Two Gameweek 20
MK Dons
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
Gillingham
  • yellowcard Aaron Rowe 27'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 37'
  • goal Robbie McKenzie 59'
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 90'
League Two Gameweek 30
MK Dons
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
Gillingham
  • Jack Payne 69' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 79' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 88' goal
  • goal Josh Walker 90'
League Two Gameweek 12
Gillingham
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
MK Dons
  • Macauley Bonne 26' goal
  • Scott Malone 35' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 55' goal
  • Jake Turner 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 58'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 62'
  • yellowcard Max Dean 81'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 90'
  • redcard Daniel Harvie 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 26
MK Dons
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gillingham
  • Daniel Harvie 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 16'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 45'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 87'

Form Data

Gillingham 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Barrow 0 - 1 Gillingham
Gillingham 0 - 3 Oldham
Chesterfield 1 - 0 Gillingham
Crewe 1 - 0 Gillingham
Gillingham 2 - 1 Tranmere
MK Dons 4 - 1 Harrogate
Cambridge 1 - 1 MK Dons
Walsall 0 - 2 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 0 Crawley
MK Dons 1 - 0 Newport
Cheltenham 2 - 3 MK Dons