League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 0 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Robbie McKenzie

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
Cambridge 1 - 1 MK Dons
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 30.8% and a draw has a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 1-0 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Gillingham 30.8% (+0.04)
Draw 26.29%
MK Dons 42.94% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.38% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 26.62% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 48.74% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 51.26% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.6% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.4% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.35% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Gillingham 24.25%
Draw 40.94%
MK Dons 34.81%

Team To Score First

Gillingham 35.44% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.02)
MK Dons 56.99% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.75% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.99% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.26% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.72% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.25% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.68% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 67.32% (+0.04)

Gillingham Goals

Over 1.5 31.18% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.82% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 11.13% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.14% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.86% (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 73.87% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.13% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 40.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.89% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gillingham 30.8%
Draw 26.29%
MK Dons 42.96%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.3% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 3% (+0.01)
Total : 30.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 26.29%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 5.75%
Total : 42.96%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 4, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
  • Joseph Gbode 65' yellowcard
  • Bradley Dack 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 81'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 84'
  • yellowcard Kane Thompson-Sommers 84'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • yellowcard Aaron Rowe 27'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 37'
  • goal Robbie McKenzie 59'
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 90'
League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Jack Payne 69' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 79' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 88' goal
  • goal Josh Walker 90'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Macauley Bonne 26' goal
  • Scott Malone 35' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 55' goal
  • Jake Turner 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 58'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 62'
  • yellowcard Max Dean 81'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 90'
  • redcard Daniel Harvie 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Harvie 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie McKenzie 16'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 45'
  • yellowcard Max Ehmer 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 87'