League Two
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • S. Curtis 16' goal
  • James Berry 60' yellowcard
  • Dylan Duffy 60' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 60' yellowcard
  • Freddie Ladapo 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Garath McCleary 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 66'
  • yellowcard Cameron Antwi 81'
  • yellowcard S. Palmer-Houlden 86'
  • yellowcard Ethan Coleman 86'

Chesterfield vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 1 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Robbie McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.96% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%) , while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.

Result

Chesterfield 44.79% (+0.93)
Draw 28.96% (+0.57)
Gillingham 26.29% (-1.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.43% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.34% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.66% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 39.98% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 60.02% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 20.19% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.77% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 10.49% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.51% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Chesterfield 32.86% (+0.72)
Draw 44.69% (+0.55)
Gillingham 22.45% (-1.27)

Team To Score First

Chesterfield 50.32% (+2.26)
No Goal 11.32% (+0.21)
Gillingham 38.36% (-2.47)

Corners

Over 8 63.14% (-0.39)
Equal 8 11.06% (-0.11)
Under 8 25.8% (+0.50)
Over 9 51.36% (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.17)
Under 9 36.86% (+0.39)
Over 10.5 39.9% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 60.1% (+0.01)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 1.5 37.39% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 62.61% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 14.8% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 85.2% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.20)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 58.02% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 41.98% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 23.62% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 76.38% (+0.95)
Over 2.5 7.11% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 92.89% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 1.77% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.23% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 44.79%
Draw 28.95%
Gillingham 26.27%
Chesterfield
1-0 @ 13.72% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.51% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.76% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 3.59% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.67% (+0.12)
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 11.32% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.08)
Total : 28.95%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.68% (-0.20)
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
League Two Gameweek 25
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Will Grigg 77' goal
  • goal Elliott Nevitt 14'
  • yellowcard Sam Gale 48'
  • yellowcard Aaron Rowe 65'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Shadrach Ogie 1' yellowcard
  • Robbie McKenzie 8' goal
  • Max Clark 37' yellowcard
  • Max Ehmer 56' yellowcard
  • Max Ehmer 60' redcard
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 90'+3'
  • redcard Chey Dunkley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jenson Metcalfe 90'+6'
League One
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bradley Dack 45' yellowcard
  • Max Ehmer 67' goal
  • Rory Donnelly 87' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Anderson 90'
League One
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Conor Wilkinson 2' goal
  • Conor Wilkinson 43' yellowcard
  • Kristian Dennis 52' goal
  • Tom Anderson 64' yellowcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 72' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Knott 49'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 65'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 76'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 95'
  • goal Scott Wagstaff 96'
League One
Feb 27, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Max Ehmer 13' yellowcard
  • Ryan Jackson 26' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Osadebe 80' goal
  • goal Sylvan Ebanks-Blake 36'
  • yellowcard Connor Dimaio 36'
  • goal Lee Novak 45'
  • yellowcard Jay O'Shea 93'