Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.