League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
The EV Charger Points Stadium

Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
Fleetwood 2 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Isaac Hutchinson

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Cheltenham Town has a probability of 34.36% and a draw has a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win is 1-0 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.06%).

Result

Cheltenham Town 34.36% (-0.04)
Draw 25.64%
Crewe Alexandra 39.96% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.33% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 52.93% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.43% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.57% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.05% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.95% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 23.76%
Draw 43.09%
Crewe Alexandra 33.15%

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 39.95% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.29% (-0.01)
Crewe Alexandra 53.76%

Corners

Over 8 61.02% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.08% (-0.02)
Under 8 27.9% (+0.04)
Over 9 49.43% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.98% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 38.32%
Under 10.5 61.68%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 36.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.56% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.44% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.74% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.26% (+0.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 73.36% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.64% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.16% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.97%
Under 3.5 94.03%

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 34.37%
Draw 25.65%
Crewe Alexandra 39.97%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.48%
Other @ 4.55% (-0.01)
Total : 34.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.65%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.78%
Total : 39.97%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Matus Holicek 1' goal
  • Josh March 22' goal
  • James Connolly 34' goal
  • Charlie Finney 65' yellowcard
  • Omar Bogle 66' yellowcard
  • Josh March 77' goal
  • Conor Thomas 77' yellowcard
  • Phil Croker 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Powell 84' yellowcard
  • goal G. Miller 43'
  • yellowcard J. Thomas 46'
  • yellowcard Jake Bickerstaff 46'
  • yellowcard Josh Martin 62'
  • yellowcard L. Kinsella 88'
  • yellowcard D. Power 88'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Zac Williams 34' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 45' goal
  • Calum Agius 90'+5' goal
  • goal George Miller 22'
  • yellowcard Scot Bennett 73'
  • goal Jordan Thomas 78'
  • goal Liam Dulson 86'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Joel Colwill 70' goal
  • Joel Colwill 83' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matus Holicek 34'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 51'
  • goal Jack Lankester 56'
  • yellowcard Shilow Tracey 68'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 74'
League One Gameweek 36
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Will Boyle 31' yellowcard
  • Kion Etete 48' goal
  • Callum Wright 61' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Long 18'
  • yellowcard Regan Griffiths 26'
  • yellowcard Travis Johnson 64'
  • goal Chris Porter 83'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 28' goal
  • Kayne Ramsay 65' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Williams 40'
  • yellowcard Andrew Williams 45'+1'
FA Cup
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Finn Azaz 2' goal
  • Lewis Freestone 30' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 80' yellowcard
  • George Lloyd 94' goal
  • goal Chris Porter 63'