League Two Gameweek 38
Cheltenham
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
Crewe
  • Jake Bickerstaff 55' goal
  • Harry Ashfield 75' yellowcard
  • Cole Deeming 75' yellowcard
  • G. Miller 75' yellowcard
  • G. Miller 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Agius 46'
  • yellowcard Jack Lankester 72'
  • yellowcard Jack Powell 83'
  • yellowcard Omar Bogle 83'
  • yellowcard Adrien Thibaut 83'
  • goal James Connolly 85'

Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Isaac Hutchinson

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 3 Walsall
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 34.04% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 25.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Crewe Alexandra 40.08% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 24.13% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 51.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 48.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.8% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 70.2% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 16.63% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 4.5 83.37% ▼ (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 24.04% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 42.71% ▼ (-0.40)
Crewe Alexandra 33.25% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 39.59% ▼ (-0.26)
No Goal 6.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Crewe Alexandra 53.8% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 62.19% ▲ (+1.18)
Equal 8 11.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 8 26.53% ▼ (-1.36)
Over 9 50.25% ▲ (+0.85)
Equal 9 11.93% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 37.81% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 10.5 38.74% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 10.5 61.26% ▼ (-0.47)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.39% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 14.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.99% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 73.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 59.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 16.99% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 83.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 5.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.11% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 34.03%
Draw 25.88%
Crewe Alexandra 40.09%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 34.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.88%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 40.09%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Crewe
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
Cheltenham
  • Matus Holicek 1' goal
  • Josh March 22' goal
  • James Connolly 34' goal
  • Charlie Finney 65' yellowcard
  • Omar Bogle 66' yellowcard
  • Josh March 77' goal
  • Conor Thomas 77' yellowcard
  • Phil Croker 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Powell 84' yellowcard
  • goal G. Miller 43'
  • yellowcard J. Thomas 46'
  • yellowcard Jake Bickerstaff 46'
  • yellowcard Josh Martin 62'
  • yellowcard L. Kinsella 88'
  • yellowcard D. Power 88'
League Two Gameweek 42
Crewe
Apr 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
Cheltenham
  • Zac Williams 34' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 45' goal
  • Calum Agius 90'+5' goal
  • goal George Miller 22'
  • yellowcard Scot Bennett 73'
  • goal Jordan Thomas 78'
  • goal Liam Dulson 86'
League Two Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Crewe
  • Joel Colwill 70' goal
  • Joel Colwill 83' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matus Holicek 34'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 51'
  • goal Jack Lankester 56'
  • yellowcard Shilow Tracey 68'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 74'
League One Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Crewe
  • Will Boyle 31' yellowcard
  • Kion Etete 48' goal
  • Callum Wright 61' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Long 18'
  • yellowcard Regan Griffiths 26'
  • yellowcard Travis Johnson 64'
  • goal Chris Porter 83'
League One Gameweek 1
Crewe
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Mikael Mandron 28' goal
  • Kayne Ramsay 65' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Williams 40'
  • yellowcard Andrew Williams 45'+1'
FA Cup
Cheltenham
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
ET
Crewe
  • Finn Azaz 2' goal
  • Lewis Freestone 30' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 80' yellowcard
  • George Lloyd 94' goal
  • goal Chris Porter 63'

Form Data

Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Cheltenham
Fleetwood 2 - 2 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 2 - 2 Barrow
Harrogate 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 3 - 2 Salford City
Bromley 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Crewe 0 - 3 Walsall
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Crewe
Crewe 2 - 1 Tranmere
Swindon 1 - 2 Crewe
Crewe 0 - 1 Fleetwood
Crewe 1 - 0 Gillingham