Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.