Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.