Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.19% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.