League Two
Newport
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
Accrington
  • Nathaniel Opoku 35' goal
  • Ben Lloyd 45' yellowcard
  • James Crole 65' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 80' yellowcard
  • Lee Jenkins 80' yellowcard
  • Tanatswa Nyakuhwa 80' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Henderson 2'
  • goal Isaac Sinclair 51'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 56'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 56'
  • yellowcard Luke Butterfield 71'
  • goal Paddy Madden 82'
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 84'
  • goal Isaac Heath 90'+2'

Newport County vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 2 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nathaniel Opoku

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 0 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Newport County 33.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 26.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Accrington Stanley 39.97% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 46.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 53.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 24.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.32% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 13.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.98% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Newport County 23.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 44.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Accrington Stanley 31.83% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Newport County 39.2% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Accrington Stanley 52.59% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 55.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 33.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 43.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 44.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 32.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 70.6% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 29.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 37.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 85.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Newport County 33.91%
Draw 26.12%
Accrington Stanley 39.98%
Newport County
1-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.12%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 39.98%

Head to Head

League Two
Accrington
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Newport
League Two Gameweek 26
Accrington
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Wham Stadium
Newport
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 4' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 15' goal
  • Farrend Rawson 23' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 26' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 53' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 75' goal
  • Benn Ward 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bobby Kamwa 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Spellman 46'
League Two Gameweek 3
Newport
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
Accrington
  • Sebastian Quirk 12' goal
  • James Clarke 29' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 52' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 63' goal
  • goal Shaun Whalley 38'
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 27
Newport
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
Accrington
  • Bryn Morris 13' goal
  • Matthew Bondswell 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 90'+6' redcard
  • Matthew Bondswell 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Kyle Jameson 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Henderson 22'
  • goal Tommy Leigh 46'
  • goal Joe Pritchard 67'
League Two Gameweek 1
Accrington
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
Newport
  • Jack Nolan 24' goal
  • Lewis Shipley 37' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 39' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 80' goal
  • Korede Adedoyin 90'+4' goal
League Two
Newport
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Accrington
  • Padraig Amond 30' goal
  • Ben White 66' yellowcard
  • Frank Nouble 85' goal
  • Mickey Demetriou 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 61'
  • goal Billy Kee 90'

Form Data

Newport 2 - 1 Chesterfield
Gillingham 3 - 2 Newport
Bromley 2 - 1 Newport
Newport 2 - 0 Crewe
Newport 0 - 0 Barnet
Colchester 4 - 1 Newport
Walsall 0 - 0 Accrington
Accrington 0 - 2 MK Dons
Colchester 0 - 0 Accrington
Notts County 0 - 1 Accrington
Accrington 1 - 0 Harrogate
Accrington 2 - 1 Barrow