League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 0 - 0 Chesterfield
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sammy Braybroke

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 0 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Benn Ward

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 33.92% and a draw has a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.28%).

Result

Newport County 33.92% (-0.08)
Draw 26.11% (-0.04)
Accrington Stanley 39.97% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.79% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.21% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 46.6% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 53.4% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 24.68% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.32% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 13.02% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.98% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Newport County 23.24% (-0.04)
Draw 44.93% (-0.08)
Accrington Stanley 31.83% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Newport County 39.2% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.21% (-0.04)
Accrington Stanley 52.59% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 55.11% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 33.51% (-0.02)
Over 9 43.76% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 44.89% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.32% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.68% (-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 32.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.71% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.13% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.87% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% (-0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 70.6% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 29.4% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 37.06% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.94% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.23% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 85.77% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Newport County 33.91%
Draw 26.12%
Accrington Stanley 39.98%
Newport County
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72% (+0.03)
Total : 33.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.12%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.35% (+0.05)
Total : 39.98%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 4' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 15' goal
  • Farrend Rawson 23' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 26' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 53' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 75' goal
  • Benn Ward 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bobby Kamwa 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Spellman 46'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Sebastian Quirk 12' goal
  • James Clarke 29' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 52' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 63' goal
  • goal Shaun Whalley 38'
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Bryn Morris 13' goal
  • Matthew Bondswell 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 90'+6' redcard
  • Matthew Bondswell 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Kyle Jameson 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Henderson 22'
  • goal Tommy Leigh 46'
  • goal Joe Pritchard 67'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Jack Nolan 24' goal
  • Lewis Shipley 37' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 39' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 80' goal
  • Korede Adedoyin 90'+4' goal
League Two
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Padraig Amond 30' goal
  • Ben White 66' yellowcard
  • Frank Nouble 85' goal
  • Mickey Demetriou 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 61'
  • goal Billy Kee 90'