League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Paddy Madden 60' yellowcard
  • Charlie Caton 60' yellowcard
  • Charlie Brown 76' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 76' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Wiles 14'
  • goal A. Collins 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 65'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 76'

Accrington Stanley vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 0 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 12.30pm
Gillingham 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 33.01% and a draw has a probability of 29.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.32%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 33.01% (+0.04)
Draw 29.78% (+0.05)
MK Dons 37.21% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.67% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 46.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.54% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.41%
Under 3.5 74.59%
Over 4.5 13.42%
Under 4.5 86.58%

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 21.82%
Draw 50.45%
MK Dons 27.73%

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 38.31% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.44% (+0.02)
MK Dons 52.25% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.2%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 40.45%
Over 9 35.62%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 52.8%
Over 10.5 25.65%
Under 10.5 74.35%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 33.17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.83% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96% (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 70% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.06% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.94% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.41% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.59% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.4% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.6% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 33.02%
Draw 29.78%
MK Dons 37.21%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.56% (+0.02)
Total : 33.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.78%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.96% (-0.02)
Total : 37.21%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Tyler Walton 24' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 39' goal
  • Sebastian Quirk 89' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Travis Patterson 59'
  • yellowcard Nico Lawrence 62'
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Alex Gilbey 1' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 35' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 58' goal
  • Joe Tomlinson 72' yellowcard
  • Dean Lewington 73' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 43'
  • yellowcard Liam Coyle 52'
  • goal Josh Woods 67'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 72'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 81'
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 83'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Jack Payne 71' goal
  • Jack Payne 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jack Nolan 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 29'
  • yellowcard John Coleman 30'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 34'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 58'
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 65'
  • yellowcard Connor O'Brien 79'
  • yellowcard Jack Nolan 90'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 31' goal
  • Ben Woods 41' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 56'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wham Stadium
  • goal Sullay Kaikai 8'