League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Wham Stadium

Accrington Stanley vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 0 Barnet
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Benn Ward

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 12.30pm
Gillingham 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 29.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (9.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.31%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 32.98% (-0.14)
Draw 29.74% (+0.03)
MK Dons 37.28% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.87% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.35% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.65% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.5% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 53.5% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 25.41% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 74.59% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 13.42% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 86.58% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 21.82%
Draw 50.45%
MK Dons 27.73%

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 38.32% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.42% (+0.04)
MK Dons 52.26% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.2%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 40.45%
Over 9 35.62%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 52.8%
Over 10.5 25.65%
Under 10.5 74.35%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 33.15% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 66.85% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 12.54% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 87.46% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.99% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.01% (+0.08)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.96% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.11% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.89% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.44% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 32.99%
Draw 29.74%
MK Dons 37.27%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.15% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.55% (-0.08)
Total : 32.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.42% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.74%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.08% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.39% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 3.97% (-0.01)
Total : 37.27%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Tyler Walton 24' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 39' goal
  • Sebastian Quirk 89' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Travis Patterson 59'
  • yellowcard Nico Lawrence 62'
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Alex Gilbey 1' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 35' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 58' goal
  • Joe Tomlinson 72' yellowcard
  • Dean Lewington 73' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 43'
  • yellowcard Liam Coyle 52'
  • goal Josh Woods 67'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 72'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 81'
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 83'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Jack Payne 71' goal
  • Jack Payne 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jack Nolan 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 29'
  • yellowcard John Coleman 30'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 34'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 58'
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 65'
  • yellowcard Connor O'Brien 79'
  • yellowcard Jack Nolan 90'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 31' goal
  • Ben Woods 41' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 56'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wham Stadium
  • goal Sullay Kaikai 8'